| George John 2005-04-11, 5:59 pm |
| Angelo De Pa1ma wrote:
Angelo,
[SNIP]
quote:
> Statistics be damned: Had I played five 2300 players my score most
likely
quote:
> would have been 0-5. Had I played ten of them my score would probably
be
quote:
> 0-10.
It's not that bad -smile-. Your expected score against 5, 2300 rated
players is about .35 (overall, you are expected to get 1 point for
roughly every 14 games you play against 2300 players).
So, if you were to play 10 events like this one, you would have an
expected score of about 3.5 total. One draw each in 7 out of 10 of the
events would work; although, it could be a mix of draws and wins that
add up to 3.5, too.
Does that sound reasonable?
Best regards,
|